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The losing candidate’s
public pain

To mask the painfully public and publicly painful experience of losing a presidential campaign, Sen. Ted Kennedy, D-Mass., turned to humor to mask his hurt: “Frankly, I don’t mind not being president ... I just mind that somebody else is.”
Unless one has actually run for president – and failed – it is all but impossible to grasp the life-altering permanence of that loss. The story is told about former Vice President Walter “Fritz” Mondale, the defeated 1984 Democratic nominee, running into George McGovern, the defeated 1972 Democratic nominee, a couple of years after Mondale had lost to Ronald Reagan. Mondale reportedly asked McGovern, “Tell me, George, when does it stop hurting?” To which McGovern answered, “I’ll let you know, Fritz, I’ll let you know.”
 
Barring an act of God or of political suicide, Barack Obama will be the 2008 Democratic presidential nominee. And Hillary Clinton will not. For Sen. Clinton – whether or not she has accepted this reality – this means the implosion of all her expectations, the shattering of her dream. She desperately needs time and space, which the Obama campaign, resisting the temptation to take a “victory lap,” appears committed to giving her. The theme song for every winning campaign’s approach toward each losing candidate ought to be Aretha Franklin’s “R-E-S-P-E-C-T.”

Texas and Washington Democratic wise man Bob Strauss understood well the suffering of the losing candidate: “It takes a lot of guts to stick your neck out and run for any public office. But the only thing that’s tougher than announcing for office is withdrawing from a race, because when you drop out you are saying that you are quitting and that you’re beaten.”
But Clinton and her campaign must understand fully that respect is reciprocal. As she winds down her effort, she and her lieutenants must cease and desist from attacking Obama in language that can only be helpful to the Republicans in the general election. No more baseless “Obama cannot win in November” pronouncements from Clinton’s former chief strategist, Mark Penn, and no more unsubstantiated warnings about an “October surprise” involving the all-but-certain Democratic standard-bearer from Harold Ickes, longtime Clinton advisor and intimate.
Hillary Clinton, herself, if she wants to leave this race with dignity, must clean up her own act immediately. That means she can make her own positive case for her own candidacy, and she is more welcome to make the case against the record of the George W. Bush administration and the strong and crucial support given to the lame-duck Republican president by Arizona Sen. John McCain.
But for Clinton, that means she must bite her tongue and stop suggesting that Obama cannot win support from white voters in November, as when she insisted to Kathy Kiely and Jill Lawrence of USA Today “how Sen. Obama’s support among working, hard-working Americans, white Americans, is weakening again and how whites in both states (Indiana and North Carolina) who had not completed college were supporting me.”

While it is true that Clinton has recently carried by substantial margins white voters in these two states plus Ohio, Pennsylvania and Texas, she deliberately ignores the facts that Obama won – and she lost – white voters in Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, North Dakota, Utah, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, Wyoming and Vermont. What are these white voters in these states to Clinton and her campaign? Chopped liver?

If Hillary Clinton wants to be treated with respect and consideration for her feelings as she withdraws from the contest, she must first understand that respect, consideration – and loyalty – are a two-way street.


Mark Shields appears weekly via Creators Syndicate.

 

 

 

Opinions and Letters

Mortgage mess blame game

As the housing crisis and mortgage mess move off the front pages, some nagging questions remain. Many of those questions revolve around how so many smart people – not the homebuyers, but Wall Streeters – could have been so dumb or blinded by greed to the eventual results of what they were doing. I wonder how they can complain now that they’re losing money.

Here are a few of my questions:

Alan Greenspan has been publicly lamenting the fact that he’s being blamed for the mortgage mess. That’s the same Greenspan that flooded the credit markets with liquidity and pushed rates down. It’s the same Fed chairman who acted as cheerleader for the refinancing boom that fueled the economy, and his legacy of “growth.”

In a Feb. 23, 2004, speech to the credit industry, Greenspan actually endorsed adjustable rate mortgages, noting that while “American homeowners clearly like the certainty of fixed mortgage payments . . . American consumers might benefit if lenders provided greater mortgage product alternatives to the traditional fixed-rate mortgage.”

And in the same speech: “The ability of lending institutions to manage the risks associated with mortgages that have high loan-to-value ratios seems to have improved markedly over the past decade.” No wonder he’s surprised!

If we can’t pin the blame on Alan, or the bankers, or the bank regulators, or the investment bankers or the rating agencies, why can’t we go back to the start and find the individual mortgage brokers who initially made the worthless loans?

That’s not an idle question. The financial institutions seem quite able to find the initial borrowers when it comes time to collect or foreclose. Surely the banks or servicers have the documentation from the initial loan, noting the names and addresses of the mortgage brokers who talked families into these great adjustable rate deals, and collected $1,000 per deal. Surely someone has considered tracking them down on their yachts – and charging them as individuals with fraud.

(Let me make it clear that I’m only referring to those jerks who made loans to people who clearly had no income to make the monthly payments once the initial, low rates wore off. I don’t see how we could get their bosses – now departing with big severance checks – indicted as co-conspirators.)

What happened to Private Mortgage Insurance? Lenders used to require this dreaded extra payment, typically one-half of 1 percent of the loan amount, to be paid by borrowers who had less than 20 percent equity.

This insurance was there to protect the lender from default, not to protect the borrower from loss. It was required for loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The website of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco still posts as an explanation for PMI:
“PMI plays an important role in the mortgage industry by protecting a lender against loss if a borrower defaults on a loan and by enabling borrowers with less cash to have greater access to homeownership. With this type of insurance, it is possible for you to buy a home with as little as a 3 percent to 5 percent down payment.”

Since PMI was designed to protect the lenders, surely those insurance policies should mitigate the banks’ losses on the loans that went bad. Except that most of those loans didn’t have PMI.
In their eagerness to make and securitize loans, the banks devised ways of splitting a large mortgage into separate, smaller “piggyback” loans, and packaging them as securities instead of selling them to the housing agencies – avoiding the PMI requirement. Those same banks are complaining about losses?
Oh, and I have one last question. This one is directed at property tax assessors: You were quick to raise property taxes when home prices were soaring. Will you be equally quick to cut those property taxes in the midst of the huge price drops we’ve seen? Just wondering. And that’s The Savage Truth.


Terry Savage is a registered investment adviser and is on the board of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Her column appears weekly via Creators Syndicate.

Race and the presidential election

Well, Barack Obama should be one happy guy. His big victory in North Carolina has pretty much locked up the Democratic presidential nomination. Now it is virtually impossible for Hillary Clinton to defeat him in the popular vote or in the elected delegate category.

Thus, Obama has the nomination won unless another Rev. Wright crawls into the picture. Spinners who talk about re-votes in Florida and Michigan are dreaming; that will not happen. The Obama campaign would be foolish to participate. They played by the Democratic Party’s rules and won. They’re not going to sanction do-overs.

Also, as Al Sharpton told me, any kind of superdelegate shenanigans will lead to massive demonstrations at the Democratic Convention in Denver, which would be disastrous for the party.
So Obama seems to be in.

Now comes the hard part, convincing Americans that he is the best choice for president without all hell breaking loose on the race front.

Thanks in part to Wright’s now immortal “the U.S. of KKK” remark, the race factor has emerged big-time in this election. If you don’t believe me, just look at the vote in North Carolina and Indiana.
About 60 percent of whites voted for Clinton, as opposed to an astounding 90 percent of African-Americans pulling the lever for Obama. And working-class whites went even bigger for Clinton. No question there is a race divide.

Accepting that, Obama has two basic problems in the race arena. First, militant blacks reinforce negativity on race issues, and these pinheads just keep popping up. In addition to Wright, Philadelphia preacher Derick Wilson wrote in the Philadelphia Daily News that Obama is a “house Negro” for not supporting Wright.
Of course, that is insane, and a responsible newspaper would not have printed the lunacy. But in this hyper-partisan country, race-baiters will find a forum, and every time stuff like that gets exposure, racial animus comes back.

Obama’s second dilemma is convincing skeptical white voters that he and his wife are sympathetic to their concerns. Let’s be honest, few white Americans would tolerate Wright for five minutes, much less 20 years. And Obama’s comments in San Francisco about blue collars seeking refuge in guns and church hurt him badly.
So, the senator must clarify his philosophy without belaboring the issue. Even with his verbal eloquence, that will not be easy.
I do not expect Obama or Sen. McCain to dwell on race, but surely some of their surrogates and the media will exploit the issue to the fullest. Any kind of perceived racial comment will be splashed all over the place.

That, of course, will be bad for the country and bad for the candidates. But it’s coming. No question.

Bill O’Reilly appears weekly via Creators Syndicate.

Letters to the Editor

Don’t deny the Museum

Dear Editor,

As the ink on the Town of Cave Creek’s GP 2005 (General Plan) barely dries, there are again multiple requests by developers/landowners asking that the residential principles and goals of the Plan be changed to maximize their profits. Whereas Cave Creek’s Plan dictates residential uses as the predominate land use and to be low density in nature to promote public health, safety and desert preservation, constant vigilance is needed to enforce these goals.
 
Noble cause is no reason to change these goals, and certainly one applicant, the Cave Creek Museum, cannot be denied the good they do. The Museum has a special use permit they can use for years to come in a quiet residential area on Basin Road. Neighbors have supported them since ‘68 for their low traffic volume and visitation schedule. In wanting bigger and more space, the Museum wants the Plan changed with a goal of bringing Commercial zoning to this quiet neighborhood.
 
In a letter to property owners, the Museum states, by changing the General Plan, in the event the Museum should at some point in the future relocate to some other location in the Town, the proposed commercial would allow this site and the existing buildings to be adapted for some other civic, cultural, office or retail use.”The letter stops short as other commercial uses that could go on the land if zoning changed: multi-family condos/apartments; retail sales such as grocery; small hardware; video rentals; stationary and flower shop; Laundromat; barber shop and beauty shop; mini-storage warehouse; parts and accessories sales for automotive, marine, trucks, RVs, and motorcycles; temporary staging for public works construction; Kennels; Public and Commercial towers and transmitters over 30 feet in heights; eating and drinking establishments; primary elementary and secondary schools; business and vocational schools; music and dance studio; police and fire stations; electric substations; youth clubs; community centers; outdoor recreational facilities; and swimming and tennis clubs.
 
All total, approximately 64 acres of residential lands touching several neighborhoods are up for major amendment changes to the GP 2005 to go from residential to commercial. This could change the community as we all know it in the way of increased traffic, noise, pollutants and vistas. Established residential areas should be safe where folks can be active whether on foot, bike or horse and safely age in place. Although Mayor Francia and Council have not voted for a residential up zoning since 2001, town’s tight finances may cause them to see it differently now. Attend the Museum hearing on Tuesday, May 20th at 7 p.m. at the Cave Creek Museum on Basin Road and make your opinions known. It may not be your neighborhood today, but it could be tomorrow.

Anna Marsolo,

Cave Creek

 

 
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